5G adoption in India is growing rapidly, given the 5G coverage of over 90 percent and the availability of affordable 5G services. 5G subscriptions are projected to reach over 270 million by the end of 2024, accounting for 23 percent of the total mobile subscriptions in the region. 5G subscriptions are expected to reach around 970 million by the end of 2030, accounting for 74 percent of mobile subscriptions.
5G Standalone (5G SA) and 5G Advanced are expected to be key focuses for communications service providers (CSPs) for the remainder of the decade as they deploy new capabilities to create offerings centred on value delivery rather than data volume. The analysis is included among a wealth of statistical network insights in the November 2024 edition of the Ericsson Mobility Report, which extends the forecast period until the end of 2030.
While the rate of mobile network traffic data growth is declining – estimated at 21 percent year-on year for 2024 – it is still expected to grow almost three-fold by the end of 2030 from present day numbers.
The report highlights how early-mover service providers are already offering value delivery models based on differentiated connectivity – guaranteed uninterrupted high-end connectivity when you need it most – to create new monetization and growth opportunities. Related case studies from T-Mobile in the U.S. and Elisa in Finland are included.
- The number of 5G users in India is expected to reach 270 million by the end of this year,
- 5G signals will be available in 95 per cent of the areas where the population currently lives. I
- It is expected to zoom to 970 million by 2030, when 5G subscriptions is poised to constitute 74 per cent of mobile subscriptions,
- The Asia-Pacific region, outside of China and India, is expected to reach 30 percent total and mid-band coverage by the end of 2024. Europe is predicted to reach total 5G population coverage of 80 percent by the end of 2024.
Mr. Fredrik Jejdling, Executive Vice President, Head of Business Area Networks, Ericsson, says: “Service differentiation and performance-based opportunities are crucial as our industry evolves. This is highlighted in the November 2024 Ericsson Mobility Report, which includes detailed analysis, statistical insights, and customer use cases. The shift towards high-performing programmable networks, enabled by openness and cloud, will empower service providers to offer and charge for services based on the value delivered, not merely data volume. This report offers valuable insights into what our industry can achieve and the steps necessary to get there.”
The report underlines the global potential for differentiated connectivity development by highlighting that, beyond China, 5G mid-band is currently only deployed at about 30 percent of sites globally.
Of about 320 CSPs currently offering commercial 5G services, less than 20 percent are 5G SA. The densification of mid-band and 5G SA sites is seen as a key catalyst to capitalize on the full potential of 5G, including programmable and intelligent network capabilities.
Almost 60 percent of the 6.3 billion global 5G subscriptions forecast by the end of 2030 are expected to be 5G Standalone (SA) subscriptions.
On global mobile data traffic, 5G networks are expected to carry about 80 percent of total mobile data traffic by the end of 2030 – compared to 34 percent by the end of 2024.
Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) continues to grow in popularity globally as the second largest 5G use case after enhanced Mobile Broadband (eMBB).
In four out of six regions, more than 80 percent of CSPs now offer FWA. The number of FWA service providers offering speed-based tariff plans – with downlink and uplink data parameters similar to cable or fiber offerings – has increased from 30 percent to 43 percent in the last year alone.
Western Europe has witnessed rapid growth in FWA speed-based offerings with 52 percent of CSPs in the region now doing so compared to 32 percent a year ago. Europe alone accounts for 73 percent of all 5G FWA launches globally in the past 12 months.
Of the 350 million projected global FWA connections by the end of 2030, almost 80 percent are forecast to be over 5G.
The report also addresses how AI, including Generative AI Applications – already integrated across smartphones, laptops, watches and FWA products – could impact uplink and downlink network traffic, driving potential mobile traffic growth beyond current baseline predictions.
Other featured report statistics include the projection that global 5G subscriptions are expected to reach almost 2.3 billion by the end of 2024, amounting to 25 percent of all global mobile subscriptions. 5G subscription numbers are expected to overtake the global number of 4G subscriptions during 2027.
The first 6G deployments are expected in 2030, building on and scaling the capabilities of 5G SA and 5G Advanced.
Covered By: Mobility India / Ericsson
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